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Home»Altcoin
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Solana Eyes $90 or $110 as Alpenglow Upgrade Nears

Adam NovakBy Adam NovakOctober 20, 2026No Comments5 Mins Read
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  • Solana is scheduled to activate its Alpenglow consensus upgrade on October 21, targeting transaction finality of about 150 milliseconds.
  • SOL slipped 1.44% over 24 hours to $103.96 as the broader crypto market declined 1.77% to $2.72 trillion.
  • Solana ranked first in blockchain application revenue across daily, weekly and monthly timeframes, with $163.52 million over 30 days.

Solana’s native token traded near $104 as the network prepares to switch on Alpenglow, a consensus upgrade set for October 21. The launch comes during a broader market pullback, with total cryptocurrency market capitalization falling to $2.72 trillion. Alongside the technical milestone, fresh revenue data shows Solana holding a leading position among blockchain applications and networks.

What Happened

Solana developer Anza said faster slot production had moved the expected activation of Alpenglow forward, bringing epoch 1064 closer than its earlier estimates had indicated. The upgrade aims to reduce transaction finality to roughly 150 milliseconds, compared with the approximately 12.8 seconds cited in the source material for the current process. The 150-millisecond figure is a performance target, and actual settlement speeds will depend on network conditions.

Alpenglow replaces TowerBFT, the mechanism validators currently use to agree on blocks. Transaction execution and on-chain programs are not changed by the upgrade. Infrastructure provider Quicknode warned that transactions could briefly stop entering blocks during the transition, and that some data streams might temporarily disconnect.

Validator operators face specific requirements. They must install compatible validator software and keep sufficient funds in their vote accounts to cover the admission fee, which is equivalent to 0.8 SOL per epoch. Without an adequate balance, a validator cannot take part in the next epoch. The source also notes that RPC nodes may take longer than consensus validators to register that finality has been reached.

On the revenue side, Solana led blockchain application revenue across three timeframes. Applications on the network generated $4.87 million in a day and $31.23 million in a week, while monthly application revenue reached $163.52 million. That places Solana ahead of Hyperliquid at $75.44 million and Ethereum at $55.15 million over the same period.

Separate data from Blockworks showed Solana generated $6.54 million in total network revenue between October 12 and October 18. That result extended the network’s lead over other layer one and layer two chains to five consecutive weeks. BNB Chain followed with $3.23 million, and Ethereum recorded $2.87 million in the same week.

Why It Matters

For investors, the Alpenglow activation is a notable infrastructure event because it changes how the network reaches agreement on blocks. A reduction in finality time from many seconds to a figure near 150 milliseconds would, if achieved, alter the user experience for applications that depend on fast settlement. However, the transition period carries operational risk. Brief interruptions in block inclusion and data feed disconnections could affect traders, exchanges and developers who rely on real-time information, and validators that miss the funding requirement may be unable to participate in the next epoch.

The revenue figures offer a different view of network activity. Application and network revenue are measures of fees generated on-chain, and consistent leadership across several weeks suggests sustained usage rather than a single spike. Still, these figures describe past activity and do not indicate how the network will perform after the upgrade.

For the wider crypto market, Solana’s developments arrive as major assets face selling pressure. Bitcoin hovered near $81,400, Ethereum traded around $2,380, and XRP was below $1.30. Solana’s ability to hold its position relative to these assets may be watched as a gauge of how the market treats network-specific news during a downturn.

Market Context

The latest pullback was driven, according to the source, by cascading long liquidations and widespread selling across digital assets. When leveraged long positions are forced to close, selling can accelerate as prices fall, which tends to amplify short-term moves. The decline in total market value to $2.72 trillion reflects this broad weakness rather than a problem specific to Solana.

Solana’s price action has been relatively contained. The asset has moved within a narrow band in recent sessions, and the 24-hour decline of 1.44% was smaller than the broader market’s 1.77% drop. Market observers often compare how individual networks perform against the sector as a whole during such periods.

Solana has also been the subject of ongoing comparisons with other smart contract platforms in terms of activity and fee generation. The revenue rankings published this week add to that picture, although the data is drawn from specific tracking sources and covers particular time windows.

What to Watch Next

  • Alpenglow activation on October 21: Readers should monitor whether the upgrade goes live as scheduled and whether transaction inclusion and data streams behave as Quicknode and others have warned.
  • Actual finality times: The 150-millisecond target is a goal. Observed settlement speeds after activation will show how closely the network matches it.
  • Price levels on the chart: At the time of reporting, SOL was at $104.01, down 0.38% on the four-hour candle. The source identifies $105 as the immediate upside level, followed by $110, and $120 as a further target if $110 is sustained. On the downside, $100 is the level to watch, with $90 as the next horizontal marker if a four-hour close falls below $100.
  • Momentum indicators: The relative strength index stood at 47.24, below the 50 midpoint, and the MACD line sat at -0.23 against a signal line of -0.41, with a positive histogram of 0.19. These readings point to subdued momentum rather than a clear trend.
  • Revenue rankings: Whether Solana maintains its lead across daily, weekly and monthly application revenue will be a useful signal of ongoing network usage.

Source: original report

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