U.S. Government’s Bitcoin Holdings: A Significant Update and Its Implications

In a recent revelation, the U.S. Marshals Service (USMS) has disclosed that the government currently possesses 28,988 BTC (valued at approximately $3.4 billion) instead of the anticipated 189,000 BTC. This dramatic discrepancy stems from a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request by independent crypto reporter L0la L33tz. The news has sent ripples through the cryptocurrency community, raising questions about potential sell-offs and the overall strategy of the U.S. government regarding Bitcoin (BTC).

Bitcoin Holdings: An Unexpected Discrepancy

Reports suggest that the U.S. government’s Bitcoin holdings are significantly lower than many speculated. David Bailey, chairman of the Bitcoin Conference, expressed a bullish sentiment regarding the update, stating that the actual number of Bitcoin held by the U.S. is about 85% less than previously believed. Some analysts attribute this to a potential sell-off, suggesting that the government may have offloaded a significant portion through swaps, which would not leave an on-chain trace.

Diverging Opinions on the Government’s Bitcoin Position

While some analysts believe that the government’s holdings have dwindled due to sell-offs, others maintain that a larger Bitcoin stash could still be in the government’s possession. For instance, Arkham Intelligence estimated that as of July 2025, the U.S. government had about 198,000 BTC, reflecting its custody wallets. Moreover, security researcher Tay Vano noted that 69,370 BTC seized during the Silk Road investigation has yet to be officially forfeited and does not appear in the USMS’s custody.

Concerns from Lawmakers

Senator Cynthia Lummis, a pro-Bitcoin advocate, has voiced concern over the government’s seemingly reduced holdings. She labeled the update as a "strategic blunder," stating that if the figures are accurate, it could set the U.S. back in the international Bitcoin race. Senator Lummis underscored the importance of a strategic Bitcoin reserve (SBR), indicating that the likelihood of establishing such a reserve has diminished significantly—from nearly 80% to just 30% according to prediction site Polymarket.

The Impacts of Seizure and Forfeiture Policies

The majority of the U.S. government’s Bitcoin holdings derive from seizures and forfeitures executed by agencies like the FBI. Some of the reported 198,000 BTC includes amounts linked to the Bitfinex hack, which a court has mandated be returned to the exchange by early 2025. This further clarifies why the U.S. may possess fewer BTC than speculated, suggesting a need for transparency in managing and reporting these assets.

What Lies Ahead for U.S. Bitcoin Policy?

As the U.S. grapples with its Bitcoin policies, the fate of the proposed strategic reserve remains uncertain. The contrasting opinions surrounding the government’s actual holdings have led to increased scrutiny and calls for clarity. Moreover, the community is keenly awaiting any further updates from the U.S. government regarding its crypto strategies and potential future initiatives in the realm of Bitcoin. The landscape surrounding Bitcoin remains dynamic and will likely continue to evolve as this saga unfolds.

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