{"id":31043,"date":"2024-04-10T07:39:25","date_gmt":"2024-04-10T07:39:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icoinmarket.com\/how-much-do-bitcoin-etfs-actually-matter-glassnode-investigates\/"},"modified":"2024-04-10T07:39:25","modified_gmt":"2024-04-10T07:39:25","slug":"how-much-do-bitcoin-etfs-actually-matter-glassnode-investigates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icoinmarket.com\/how-much-do-bitcoin-etfs-actually-matter-glassnode-investigates\/","title":{"rendered":"How Much Do Bitcoin ETFs Actually Matter? Glassnode Investigates"},"content":{"rendered":"


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<\/p>\n

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U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs have absorbed $12.3 billion of net inflows since launching three months ago. Just how much have they impacted the broader Bitcoin market?<\/p>\n

Lead Glassnode analyst James Check provided analysis on Wednesday measuring the effect of Bitcoin ETFs next to the asset\u2019s existing futures and spot markets \u2013 using on-chain data.<\/p>\n

Grayscale And Long Term Holders<\/h2>\n

The analyst began by examining the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) \u2013 the sole new Bitcoin ETF that\u2019s suffered massive and consistent outflows since January 11.<\/p>\n

The fund has lost roughly 300,000 BTC since that time, close to half of its total holdings. However, the rising value of the existing BTC on its balance sheet has meant its net asset value has only declined from $28.7 billion to $23.1 billion, leaving plenty more room for sell-side pressure from the fund.<\/p>\n

\u201cGBTC is gonna be classified as long-term holder supply,\u201d said Check. Most coins within the fund are held by older investors who acquired shares at a much lower cost basis than competitors, meaning they have more incentive to sell as Bitcoin\u2019s price rises.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s still functioning much the same way long-term holder supply does,\u201d he continued \u201cWhen we break all-time high, people start to take some chips off the table. This is a pattern we\u2019ve seen in every previous Bitcoin cycle.\u201d<\/p>\n

Bitcoin ETFs: One-Third Of The Market<\/h2>\n

Last month, Glassnode wrote that the distribution of BTC from long-term Bitcoin holders \u2013 defined as those who held their coins for more than five months \u2013 had ramped up to levels similar to previous bull runs. The analyst said that GBTC now comprises roughly one-third of all long-term holder spending within recent months.<\/p>\n

Looking at other Bitcoin ETFs, Check compared their net inflows to the change in Bitcoin\u2019s \u201crealized cap\u201d \u2013 an on-chain measure of how much capital inflows have come into the Bitcoin network. While ETF inflows have numbered $28.5 billion, the entire network registered $52 billion of capital inflows.<\/p>\n

On a volume basis, Check said that the ETFs are, similarly, about 40% to 50% as large as the traditional Bitcoin spot market. Futures volume still dominates both sectors, representing 80% to 85% of Bitcoin trading on average.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf we look at it from the perspective of trade volume\u2026 long term holder spending\u2026 or ETF inflows\u2026 we\u2019re talking about something in the order of thirty and fifty percent,\u201d concluded Check regarding the magnitude of the ETFs.<\/p>\n

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