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Could Bitcoin Reach $125k If Trump Announces a Deal with China?

News RoomBy News RoomOctober 27, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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Bitcoin Price Surge: Riding the Wave of Optimism Ahead of the Trump-Xi Meeting

As the cryptocurrency market thrives on uncertainty and speculation, the Bitcoin price has been recovering steadily amid renewed optimism surrounding the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting on October 30th. Historically, BTC has demonstrated a keen sensitivity to macroeconomic events linked to trade relations between the United States and China. Price rallies often follow periods of improved diplomatic sentiment, prompting traders to speculate that easing trade tensions could enhance global liquidity and risk appetite.

Current Bitcoin Price Structure Indicates Strong Buyer Control

Recent technical analyses show that Bitcoin is on a positive trajectory, bolstered by a clear breakout above a descending channel. At $115,135, the price has seen a 2.34% increase within the last 24 hours, suggesting a short-term bullish momentum. Buyers have effectively defended the $112,000 mark, while the $106,000 level stands as a critical invalidation point for deeper market corrections. Resistance is noted at $117,000, which acts as a significant neckline from a previous breakdown. Analysts anticipate that a sustained breakout above this resistance could pave the way for Bitcoin to reach the measured target of $125,000.

Indicators are reinforcing this optimistic outlook. The Directional Movement Index (DMI) exhibits strong bullish dominance, with the positive directional indicator (+DI) at 37.7 outpacing the negative directional indicator (–DI) at 9.8. Furthermore, the Average Directional Index (ADX) indicates a trend strength of approximately 26.3, suggesting a significant momentum that could persist without signs of exhaustion.

The Role of Macro Events: Trump-Xi Meeting as a Catalyst for Bitcoin

The upcoming meeting between President Trump and President Xi could be a key macro trigger for Bitcoin’s price movement. As trade tensions between the U.S. and China appear to ease, the market positions itself to respond positively. Historical data suggests that reduced trade friction generally boosts expectations for global liquidity and increases risk appetite among investors, both of which are favorable conditions for cryptocurrency prices to ascend.

If an announcement regarding tariff relief is made, it could serve as an ideal macro spark for Bitcoin’s price structure. Given the thin resistance levels above $117,000, a deal that outlines phased tariff rollbacks could convert this resistance into support. Such a transition would likely attract trend followers, intensifying long positions in anticipation of a price rally.

Elevated Demand Reflecting in Market Sentiment

The technical setup currently favors a headline-driven price extension for Bitcoin. Market data shows that higher lows since the recent $106,000 sweep indicate a shift in control toward demand. The trading volume expanded during recent green candles, implying robust buying interest, and then cooled during pullbacks, which supports a healthy environment for price continuation.

A decisive daily close above $121,000 would likely set the stage for a test of the $125,000 target. Conversely, failure to secure a favorable deal from the Trump-Xi summit could lead to range-bound trading between $112,000 and $117,000. In such a scenario, the established constructive base suggests that any dips would likely be supported by responsive buying interest.

Conclusion: A Positive Outlook Indicated by Technicals and Macro Factors

Both technical indicators and the upcoming geopolitical landscape favor bullish sentiment for Bitcoin’s price trajectory. The breakout pattern, supportive DMI readings, and strong buyer presence culminate in a constructive outlook for the cryptocurrency. The anticipated outcomes from the Trump-Xi summit add another layer of optimism, potentially fortifying Bitcoin’s bullish momentum.

As long as the price remains above $112,000, the probability of Bitcoin reclaiming the $125,000 level continues to strengthen. In summary, the alignment of technical charts and macroeconomic events sets the stage for a period of positive price action, reflecting the underlying demand and broader market sentiment. With all eyes on the outcome of the Trump-Xi meeting, Bitcoin’s journey could very well be poised for a significant upward trajectory.

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