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Cardano Price Prediction: Bullish Pattern Could Drive ADA to $1 as ETF Approval Odds Reach 84%

News RoomBy News RoomJuly 17, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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Cardano (ADA) Price Surge: Aiming for $1 Amid Growing Optimism

In the cryptocurrency landscape, Cardano (ADA) has made headlines with a remarkable 21% surge over the past week, demonstrating its consistent pattern of mirroring Bitcoin’s price movements. As of now, Cardano is trading at approximately $0.695, with daily trading volumes peaking at $1.24 billion. This bullish trend, paired with increasing odds of an ADA Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) approval, suggests that the price may be gearing up to reach the coveted $1 mark in the near future.

The Bullish Potential: Rounding Bottom Formation

Cardano bulls have intensified their efforts recently, driving the price upward with a clear target of a breakout rally to $1. This momentum follows a notable rounding bottom pattern, signaling a healthy recovery from its low of $0.54. The trajectory suggests that the current uptrend could be sustainable, especially if buy-side volumes remain robust. The 21% price increase has successfully breached the resistance level at $0.74, which could potentially transform into a support level, provided buying pressure holds steady.

This bullish pattern implies a substantial rise from the previous low, marking a 40% increase as ADA rallies from $0.54 to the most recent peak of $0.74. Should this trend continue, a parallel rally from the breakout level could take the price even higher, with a target price identified around $1.06. To maintain this optimistic forecast, Cardano must convincingly move above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $0.74, as historical data illustrates that previous breakouts accompanied by strong buying volumes have often led to parabolic price movements.

Navigating the Overbought Signals

While the indicators suggest a bullish run, caution is warranted. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is inching closer to overbought territory, which could signal a potential cooldown phase. Nevertheless, historical data provides a counterpoint, as ADA’s RSI has previously soared as high as 89 before experiencing a correction. This suggests that there may still be room for further gains, even if warnings of overbought conditions loom on the horizon.

Promising Odds for ADA ETF Approval

Another factor potentially influencing ADA’s price trajectory is the rising likelihood of a spot Cardano ETF approval in the U.S., which currently stands at an encouraging 84%. This marks a significant jump from the mere 42% odds reported in mid-June. The anticipation surrounding the launch of such products could inject fresh momentum into the ADA price, as more traders express optimism about their prospects.

Additionally, bolstered network activity supports the notion that ADA’s price could continue on an upward trend. Data from DeFiLlama reveals that since late June, the Total Value Locked (TVL) in the Cardano ecosystem has surged by over $100 million. This steady increase, combined with energetic activity surrounding Cardano’s meme coins, further solidifies the sentiment that ADA is positioned well for growth.

Market Analysis and Historical Precedents

Analyzing past trends can provide valuable insights into Cardano’s current market position. Historical data indicates that whenever ADA successfully breaks above the 200-day SMA—with robust buying activity as seen during its November 2024 surge—the price often experiences explosive rallies. This historical precedent instills a sense of cautious optimism among traders as they observe the current price movements.

The interplay of strong network activity, an increasingly favorable ETF landscape, and historical support levels positions Cardano as an attractive investment amid the broader cryptocurrency recovery narrative.

Conclusion: A Bright Path Ahead for Cardano

In conclusion, Cardano’s recent price surge, supported by bullish patterns and increasing odds of ETF approvals, paints an optimistic picture for the altcoin. If buy-side volumes remain strong and Cardano successfully clarifies its movement above critical resistance levels, the $1 mark seems within reach. Traders and investors alike will be closely monitoring developments, including network activity and external market factors, that could impact ADA’s price dynamics in the coming weeks.

As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, Cardano appears ready to capitalize on favorable conditions, reaffirming its position as a formidable player in the digital asset space. Investors should remain attentive to market signals and trends, ensuring they make informed decisions as they navigate this fast-changing landscape.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. Why is Cardano’s price rising?
Cardano’s price is currently gaining due to a general recovery trend in the broader cryptocurrency market, alongside its recent bullish momentum.

2. Can ADA reach $1?
Yes, if ADA confirms a decisive close above the rounding bottom’s neckline resistance level, there is potential for it to reach the $1 target.

3. What impact would a spot ADA ETF approval have?
Approval of a spot ADA ETF is likely to have a bullish impact on Cardano’s price, driving increased interest and investment in the cryptocurrency.

By staying informed about Cardano’s market movements and maintaining an awareness of significant developments, investors can navigate their investment strategies more effectively in this dynamic environment.

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