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Understanding Why XRP Might Fall to $2.40 if This Support Level Fails

News RoomBy News RoomAugust 31, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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Current Bearish Sentiment: A Deep Dive into XRP’s Price Action

The ongoing market conditions for Ripple’s XRP have raised considerable concerns among investors, indicating a potential bearish trend in the coming days. Currently, XRP is hovering around the critical support level of $2.74. With a market-wide bearish sentiment looming, analysts predict that XRP could correct deeper, likely targeting the $2.6 and $2.4 levels. As XRP seeks stability, the trends in spot and futures cumulative volume delta (CVD), alongside various metrics, paint a concerning picture for its immediate future.

The Taker CVD and Market Sentiment

Recent analysis highlights that both the spot and futures taker CVD have been negative for XRP over the last month. This trend indicates a dominant selling sentiment that investors need to recognize. Since late July, market activity has reinforced a bearish outlook as XRP’s price action approached key resistance levels, notably the $3.4 mark, just below its all-time high of $3.65 achieved earlier in July. Despite the glaring bearish signals, the market’s reaction remains critical, as investors monitor whether the $2.74 support will hold under increased pressure.

Open Interest Dynamics

Another significant aspect influencing XRP’s current trajectory is the record-high CME Open Interest recently observed. Usually, a surge in Open Interest suggests bullish setups; however, in this context, expectations for a bullish turn remain unfulfilled. The ongoing bearish dynamics are amplified by the continuous downtrend in Open Interest since the end of July, which adds to the already existing negative sentiment. By examining these metrics closely, it becomes evident that XRP is facing a formidable resistance that could push it toward critical support levels sooner rather than later.

Key Support Levels and Market Psychology

An essential element of XRP’s analysis revolves around the critical support level of $2.74, which holds substantial importance. By breaking below this level, XRP might be ushered toward deeper corrections at $2.6 and $2.4. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) has notably declined, suggesting weakening buying pressure. The bearish structure on the 12-hour chart further reiterates the growing concerns. Investors and traders are currently left in a state of angst, questioning whether the prevailing bearish sentiment will translate into a breakout below the crucial support.

Takeaway from the Spot and Futures Markets

Both the spot and futures markets reflect a sell-dominance for XRP, with consistent negative trends in both areas. The taker sell dominance evident in the spot market aligns with similar trends in the futures market. Investors are becoming increasingly cautious as the negative CVD trends indicate a bearish underpinning for XRP. The fear of a breach beneath the critical $2.74 level adds to the overarching anxiety in the market, pushing investors to reconsider their positions.

The Positive Spin: Estimated Leverage Ratio

Despite the overwhelming bearish sentiment, there exists a glimmer of hope in the form of the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR). As the ELR declines, suggesting that the market isn’t significantly over-leveraged, it diminishes the risk of violent liquidation events that could negatively impact traders. This insight is particularly encouraging for those holding XRP positions, as the market may stabilize without facing extreme leverage-induced volatility.

Conclusion: Navigating XRP’s Future

In sum, the current sentiment surrounding XRP leans bearishly, with recent trends suggesting the potential for further corrections. While the market defends the $2.74 support level, the bearish indicators from both spot and futures markets are undeniable. Investors are advised to monitor these levels closely, as the price movement in the coming days will be crucial in determining XRP’s immediate path. Should XRP maintain support above $2.74 and $2.6, there remains potential for a reversal, but the prevailing conditions warrant a cautious approach. Keeping an eye on market dynamics and sentiment will be essential for anyone gauging the future of Ripple’s XRP.

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