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Axelar (AXL): 19% Surge Faces Bearish Market Structure – What to Expect Next?

News RoomBy News RoomJanuary 26, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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Axelar (AXL) Market Update: Analyzing Recent Trends and Future Outlook

Axelar’s (AXL) recent market activity has been nothing short of extraordinary, showcasing a dramatic 1,200% increase in daily trading volume alongside a 19.8% rally on January 25th. This surge in interest comes amid a broader market downturn following Bitcoin’s significant drop below the $88,000 mark. The negative sentiment permeated through various cryptocurrencies, impacting AXL’s performance during lower timeframes. Understanding the implications of these fluctuations is crucial for traders navigating the current landscape.

Analyzing Axelar’s performance on the daily chart reveals a bearish structure that solidified after a notable drop on January 20th. The price fell below the crucial $0.066 threshold, signaling a potential continuation of a bearish trend. Despite a recent rally that brought AXL’s price up to $0.083, the inability to consistently close above key overhead supply zones raises concerns. However, there is hope as the On-Balance Volume (OBV) has reached levels higher than those seen in mid-December, and the 1-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above the neutral 50 mark. While this may indicate a glimmer of optimism, it is vital to approach the situation with caution.

Even with recent indicators showing signs of recovery, the broader market sentiment remains bearish, particularly on higher timeframes. The moving averages have yet to produce a crossover, signaling that the bearish structure is still intact. Traders must remain vigilant and prepared for potential price volatility. As AXL navigates these uncertain waters, the dynamics of the market remain heavily influenced by Bitcoin’s price action, necessitating a careful watch on BTC levels to gauge AXL’s trajectory.

As part of the analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels have been plotted based on AXL’s recent swing higher. Currently at risk are the levels sustained near the 78.6% retracement mark, specifically around $0.072. The bearish sentiment intensifies as the RSI has dipped below the neutral 50 on the hourly chart, indicating weakening momentum. Additionally, trading below the 50-period moving average adds to the bearish narrative, potentially signaling the onset of a downward trend.

For traders, this scenario highlights a critical call to action: adopting a sidelined stance. The rapid surge in open interest and weekend gains might not be sustainable in the face of market volatility. A period of consolidation or deeper retracement may be essential for the bulls to regain momentum. Should Bitcoin remain stable above $84,000, there could be a clearer path to recovery for AXL. Traders are advised to closely monitor consolidation levels around $0.065-$0.072 for potential buying opportunities, keeping in mind that a drop below $0.065 could serve as a warning sign for continued bearishness.

In summary, while recent price action for Axelar has shown promising signs of growth, the overall sentiment leans towards a bearish outlook in the short term. Traders looking to enter long positions should watch for positive responses at critical levels, particularly near $0.072. While optimism remains amid current fluctuations, vigilance and strategic planning will be essential for navigating the evolving Axelar market landscape. As always, it’s crucial to remember that this analysis does not constitute financial advice but rather reflects the writer’s personal perspective on current market conditions.

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